Monday, January 26, 2004

NH Predictions

This seems even harder to peg than Iowa as the weekend polls were far from unanimous , with Zogby three days showing Dean back within the margin of error of the leader, Kerry. Polls have shown various candidates in third- Clark, Lieberman and Edwards. And some polls are trending to suggest and Edwards second place finish. So much depends on who comes to vote tomorrow. The weather forecast calls for some snow and cold weather. That might lead one to foresee lower participation among the over 60 crowd, but I am not so sure I would stake a bet on that happening. The big question is how many Independents will take Democratic ballots tomorrow.

Nevertheless, I will go out on a limb and make predictions-
1) Kerry 32%
2) Dean 21%
3) Edwards 21%
4) Clark 14%
5) Lieberman 12%


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